[furyofantares]

It's June 30 and the ban has been lifted, I'm gonna say Polymarket's 32% chance of the ban being lifted in June was far and away a better guess than bemoaning that non-Americans will never access an American model better than Opus 4.8.

[root_axis]

Polymarket's 32% wasn't "a guess", it's just noise with zero connection to the actual likelihood of the event.