[softwaredoug]

I don’t worry about access to amazing AI. GLM 5.2 is pretty amazing. I can easily see it becoming a norm to own beefier personal hardware to run your own AI.

I worry, like other emerging industries, the administration will make hamfisted decisions that let the Chinese take the lead. See also EVs / clean energy and the war in Iran which has only accelerated that transition.

There’s currently cronyism. There’s no laws that give companies certainty about a regulatory framework (it’s all just being made up). Add to that deep suspicion of expertise at the White House. And a huge disconnect from the economic reality.

It’s a great opportunity for the second tier US labs to release open weight almost-as-good models. Meta kicked off this race, maybe they can release something? Microsoft wants to develop more of their models. Maybe Google should go open weight?