If a good SWE is $150/hour, does the model cost actually matter? Surely you'd be willing to spend $10/hour to make that SWE 20% more productive? The model cost is still much less than the salary.
I don’t think any engineers who cost $150/hr are having their productivity moved by 20% depending on a $10/hr gap between models on or near the frontier.
Most of the gains right now come from tooling and process and any big post 2025 language model. The specific model isn’t that important right now.
With Claude Code Ultrathink, I used 3 million tokens in 20 minutes. At API prices, that would be around 30$. So 90$/h. Model cost is not that much lower.
I’m sure there are engineers making $180k usd / year in the eu. Maybe it’s unusual, but hey, now you can cancel your claude subscription and hire a really good engineer
But SOTA models used liberally at API pricing is a lot more than $10/hour.
You can probably burn $100+/hour with just a single agent, and probably thousands when running agents programmatically, e.g. workflows.
Most of the gains right now come from tooling and process and any big post 2025 language model. The specific model isn’t that important right now.