| > but if you only want to use the best model available, it isn't there yet I'm trying to wrap my head around exactly why so may people seem to want the best model available when it has recently become clear that most halfway decent models can write damn good code for a fraction of the price. And the frontier models get nerfed constantly so you with open weight you can get something slightly less performant but way more stable. Almost like buying a Ferrari for your daily commute instead of a Toyota or even a Mercedes. I think there are several factors. Certainly marketing making us think we need the shiny thing which is rampant online and very smart people think they aren't susceptible to. There's a lot of really odd 'I trust Anthropic/OpenAI more than Deepseek' which tends to ignore, for starters, that you can run choose your provider and still save a ton. I also think there's some amount of addiction and brand loyalty where a Ferrari is one hell of a drive so that you turn your nose up at that sensible Toyota. Oh the other one I see used is like oh only fable can oneshot updating my embedded systems thing from 1975 to rust which is great but let's recognize how niche that is. And it ends up just coming across as people are getting SO reliant on the tools so fast. Maybe it's ok to think and like read a few lines of code and work with these agents to convert your thing to rust or center your div. Even if coding is over which in some sense it certainly is, don't turn your mind into the wall-e people yet. I found myself guilty of this so often. It takes way more time and effort to do things via prompt and I wouldn't just open the editor and fix it because that dopamine hit of the magic the abstraction provided was so strong. So I'm pretty much done using the 'best' (on benchmarks, if money isn't an object, etc etc) models available. After a year on Sonnet/Opus/GPT5x I'm having way better results with open weights models that don't get lobotomized weekly. I'm finding ways to do the crafting part of building software by focusing on honing my harness and workflow. I'm enjoying changing the oil on my Toyota after a year of almost flying off cliffs in my Ferrari and if I can check my ego it's a purely positive thing. |
This is the logical end point of the fear-based way LLMs are marketed. You must want the best, because everyone who has the best can work faster than you, generate more — if you don't have the best, you are behind! Why would you want to use anything other than the best?
The thing is, once everyone has the best, the question is: how much can you spend? If you can't spend more, you are behind! If spending the most will get you ahead, why would you not want to spend the most, if you can afford it?
There is only one way through this, in the long run: work out a way forward that doesn't make you dependent on this cycle. If you can compete at all, without the spend, what happens is: they burn money and you don't.
FWIW so far I don't think the benchmarks prove very much about the actual experience, and you can discover this just as easily without spending any money. And we know this about benchmarks! Once a benchmark seems useful as a measurement, it becomes a target and it stops being as useful.
I think your strategy is right. It requires bravery, and as you say, it requires ego balance. But I believe it is obvious that the world will either come around to a more sensible, stable pattern or it doesn't matter either way because we're fucked. So opting out of this mad early cycle and choosing to be calmer and happier is a choice you can just make.