[rayiner]

> You don't try to achieve a goal when you don't have the military means to achieve at a cost you are willing to bear.

Did the military advise the administration it would take a lengthy ground war to control the strait? Or was it pitched as something the Navy could do without a ground occupation?

[pohl]

It wouldn’t matter if they had. He’s doesn’t listen to anything he doesn’t want to hear. At this point one can safely assume that he was told exactly how this strategic defeat would play out, and it went in one ear and out the other.

[rayiner]

I don’t think we can assume that. Maybe Trump ignored warnings (though if that happened I would have expected it to be leaked). But there’s also a possibility the Navy fucked up. And that’s important to consider, because that’s something that needs to be fixed.

[pohl]

We already know that he doesn’t read the PDB, and that they even tried sprinkling his own name throughout the text to hold his interest.

[hypeatei]

> though if that happened I would have expected it to be leaked

From Feburary:

https://www.axios.com/2026/02/23/iran-strike-trump-gen-dan-c...

Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine has been advising President Trump and top officials that a military campaign against Iran could carry significant risks, in particular the possibility of becoming entangled in a prolonged conflict,

Recently:

https://www.ms.now/news/trump-iran-war-haberman-swan-book-in...

“He felt that this regime was a paper tiger, that this was going to be a fast war,” Swan said on “The Last Word.” “He just said he felt that that was going to be the case, that they were going to collapse very quickly.”

“It’s a form of magical thinking, actually, is what it all boils down to,” he added.