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by jopt 4938 days ago
55% is just as close to 50% (coin toss) as 60%.
3 comments

Far far less than half of companies succeed. So identifying successful companies by random draw is not equivalent to a coin toss. In the case of this study, its 10%.
55% on A-rated companies is way better than the "coin-toss" model of randomly assigning a rating to each company, because there are more than two ratings.
I apologise for ever posting this trainwreck of statistical reasoning. I don't know what I was thinking.