[moooo99]

> It is almost guaranteed it will also introduce export controls on the models.

The current models are open weights and already out the door. They are hosted by many providers and are already comparatively good in many domains. Even if this generation is the last one to be open, I‘d argue it would already put the US providers in trouble

[roenxi]

Also, the evidence isn't that China is doing anything magic - it seems AI is just energy + compute as opposed to any special research edge. There is reason to think that anyone would be capable of building these models. They're generic and every country will eventually catch up at a speed depending on how economically capable they are at buildign data centres.

I'm upbreat about China because they seem to be the biggest player here, but even if they don't come through I expect other countries will be able to put out decent free models.

[c0n5pir4cy]

I would argue that there is somewhat a research edge - there's no reason to think Chinese labs aren't incredibly capable in research though, look at all the recent papers from them on things like efficiency.

[varjag]

Naturally I wasn't implying they'll restrict the current models retroactively. Which either way trail behind even the universally available frontier models.

What's perplexing is people see CCP as some kind of libertarians while they in fact love regulations and routinely leverage them both domestically and in exports.