[knowaveragejoe]

I think the unspoken fear is that if we assume one or the other will "win" in reaching AGI(or whatever threshold of capability), the rest of the world will sooner or later live under their system of rule as a consequence

[ggm]

I very much doubt the primary reason nation states are lining up to permit or forbid access to these systems is 'fear of future AGI dominance'

I think it's much more immediate/present: the weights and the information breach significant strategic controls on national data and posture, which can be back-derived from the models. If you can analyse a model, you can infer what structural inputs dictate it.

[knowaveragejoe]

Can you expand on that reasoning more? Claude etc has national secrets hodden somewhere in its weights?