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by kennywinker 2 hours ago
Doesn’t need to be a winner head to head. If it can do 90% of the tasks the big boys do, at 50% speed, for virtually no extra overhead cost save for the power consumed by a prompt - that’s gonna work for a lot of people. And that’s also basically where we’re at today. Qwen3.6 35b running quantized on 10 year old hardware solves basically all of my uses cases for agents except for coding.

The frontier models are faster, and better at coding, but not so much that i’ll pay $200/month for them.

2 comments

Consider this. One of the smallest Qwen models (4B parameters) powers my home automation voice assistant, and runs on CPU alone at >20 tok/s. It is enough for that use case, and could be made even better/faster with a modest GPU. It isn't as smart as some cloud-connected thingamajig, but I would never allow a literal Google or Amazon bug in my home. Huge SOTA models aren't relevant everywhere. Most people use LLMs for rather trivial tasks such as finding typos or drafting text.
Curious, what exactly does it do for you? I has bad luck with these small models to do anything useful tbh.
> If it can do 90% of the tasks the big boys do, at 50% speed

I want to live in this world too, but these numbers, as of today, are very aspirational and far removed from reality.

I'm no tokenmaxxer; I find my modest local setup useful, I also know the limitations, it's slow and it sucks (relatively) at high-level and/or long-context planning, compared to frontier models. Only a minority of my prompts are max-effort - its not all I do, but, it also means frontier labs aren't dying any time soon

Consider also that right now LLMs run slowly enough you can watch them think. I've seen a demo of an LLM running at an absurdly high speed and it reminds me of when I moved from a 2400 baud modem to a 14.4 - BBS screens that I could watch draw were all of a sudden nigh-interactive. Faster-than-realtime video generation is also coming, and will also continue to require huge hardware for a long while yet.

I love local models - I have a machine at home that runs a few for me and it's a lot of fun - but for the time being they are not super trustworthy on tool calls and staying on script. Another year or so might change all that!