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by forestingfisher 37 days ago
China won’t invade Taiwan. Be realistic
4 comments

If you wanted to be realistic, you wouldn't say for sure that they won't.
Uh oh 5 years ago nobody would believe there will be a war in Europe with almost 1,000,000 dead.

And now China knows that both US and EU are weak and cant even deal with Russia or Iran.

And they also have their own semiconductors manufacturing and cut off from what TSMC produces anyway.

And Russia would never invade Ukraine. And Germany could never make it past the Maginot Line
That was before Trump blew up half the US' munitions inventory in Iran. If Xi is serious about taking back Taiwan, and I don't see why we should doubt his sincerity, the temptation to invade must be irresistible. The only thing that is holding him back is that he purged nearly the entire top brass of the PLA for gross corruption (like "fueling" its ICBMs with water), and he has no idea if his Potemkin army is actually capable of anything.