[odie5533]

If Anthropic announced AGI tomorrow, how much better would that model be than Fable 5? It's looking like the road to AGI is gradual and moat-less. Models seem capable of improving other models, and even without illegal distillations many are nipping at the heels of Anthropic.

[InsideOutSanta]

Yeah, I think we're learning that we overestimated the relevance of recursive self-improvement in a singularity/intelligence takeoff scenario. We thought that once an AI could start improving itself, it would cause an exponential, self-reinforcing intelligence explosion.

Turns out that scaling up compute is much more important and also limits the upper end of intelligence.

[AnthonyMouse]

The bigger mistake is assuming it would be better at everything all at once.

Suppose it can do 80% of what the 20th percentile human can do. That's a huge advance and very useful, but it means there are still things it's not very good at. If any of those things is (or becomes) a bottleneck, you're not getting the hockey stick graph.

[ForHackernews]

What is an "illegal" distillation? Terms of service are not laws, and clearly copyright laws are no barriers to developing AI models.

[dogwalker5000]

If AGI = Data from Star Trek, it would be a huge leap. Frankly, anything less I wouldn’t consider as AGI.

[IncreasePosts]

Why would the creator of AGI sell it to anyone, when they could keep it to themselves and corner dozens of markets?