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by dmacedo 37 days ago
There are two important points to consider though:

On the bubble pop it's the feedback loop of investments to ROI materialising or not which will dictate if this stabilises in the current trajectory or if the bubble pops and massive investments will get written off (whoever is holding the bag can cry a river and won't be made whole).

But on that point for a team delivering value and demonstrating ROI I'm curious to see how many businesses fly through their roadmaps at whatever velocity and quality LLMs can deliver - and how does that translate to business growth. Are you achieving more in features and accelerating growth to the same 2 months instead of 12+? Or has the LLM spend just made 12+ months of "cost to build roadmap" into 2 months of staff + LLM costs anyway without profit to match??

Unless "other lines" go up as well, just compressing that increased cost without the benefits in revenue and growth, it'll still fail the ROI to keep paying the LLMs tax for these frontier labs to recoup their investment and then some...

1 comments

Yes, we can now achieve in two months what we did in 12, all else being equal. If I was willing to experiment with lower quality, I would've said one month.

Do you remember how Uber was a bubble that was going to pop for years?

Why do you think that didn't happen? They're still barely profitable.

Any chance you could share how you achieved that?

I've been using LLMs a lot and they have been a force multiplier, but I am not sure I could knock out a year's worth of work in 2 months. I must be doing something wrong