[TZubiri]

>" can someone place a bet on an event that X person will be shot? "

> Couldn’t someone place a bet on a sporting event and then murder a key player?

I don't follow, these are separate hypotheticals. For the record the answers would be:

1a) Can? Yes

1b) Legal? No, listing itself against public policy.

2a) Can? Yes

2b) Legal? No, murder is illegal

2c) Wager profits retained? No, slayer rule/No profit theory.

[kennywinker]

Re: 1b “public policy” is not law, so no it’s not “illegal” just against the betting site rules. Easily skirted by making the bet not directly about death, e.g. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-out-as-president-before-2...

Re: 2c also applies to scenario 1, if you get caught you can’t retain the money.

So, to your point about which is more regulated - there is no difference in the amount of regulation between the two scenarios.