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by attentive 5 days ago
Iran calls notwithstanding, Mearsheimer is a complete clown with regard to Ukraine calls

2014 - Claimed Putin had no interest in annexing large parts of Ukraine, conquering it, or pursuing regime change

Feb 2022 - Putin had “no intention of invading Ukraine” in the sense of large-scale conquest (days before the invasion)

June 2022 - “There is no evidence in the public record that Putin was contemplating, much less intending to put an end to Ukraine as an independent state… Putin was not interested in making Ukraine a part of Russia… the Russians pursued a limited aims strategy”

Repeated claim (2014–2022): Putin is a rational actor who understands the costs and would not pursue maximalist territorial or imperial goals in Ukraine

1 comments

Well, you know, as crude as it may sound, new war everybody starts from 0 with their prediction score