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by credit_guy 3 days ago
There might be. But, from the US point of view, the tolls are not a strategic problem. A conspiracy theorist might even argue that tolls in the Strait of Hormuz make the US oil exports more competitive, and therefore more profitable. The strategic problem for the US (and the rest of the world, Israel obviously included) is for Iran to acquire nuclear weapons. One might say that the Memorandum of Understanding is quite vague about that. But the natural conclusion from last Summer and from the last few months is that the US will not hesitate to bomb Iran if it tries to resume its pursuit of the bomb. This does not need to be codified in any agreement, the threat is there implicitly. The MoU is more focused on the carrots than the stick, but the stick is there, in the background, and Iran knows it.
2 comments

I think the president wants this all to go away. None of this is making him look good, and he hates it. If the bombing starts again, the straight will be closed again. He's gonna leave the whole problem for the next president.
I sincerely the next president has the guts to wipe his hands of it and get on about the business of building infrastructure within the United States badly needed infrastructure take a page out of China, actually rebuild from within, actually do something useful in Central and South America, rebuild some Goodwill with Canada and Mexico actually try to solve some problems.

Revisit Oak Ridge, Tennessee why are the Chinese dusting off old technology from America and running with it?

The US could make it clear that if earth moving equipment is spotted within half a mile of the Isfahan, Fordow or Natanz previously bombed facilities, they will be bombed again [1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_program_of_Iran#Main_f...

> There might be. But, from the US point of view, the tolls are not a strategic problem

It's a problem pretty much only for the US. The US has been humiliated, embarrassed, and made incredibly weak by showing it can neither protect its allies or its core interests, and that it can not project power despite spending massive amounts of money using its fancy weapons that are supposed to be the best and most expensive in the world.

Further, its shown the world that letting the US keep a strategic base in your country is actually a huge problem for the country, and not a benefit at all.

The US had global alliances that made it very strong, its in the process of destroying all that and isolating itself in order to become weaker and poorer.

Nobody else around the world is hurt much by tariffs on the Strait. Just the US due to its massive own-goal by wasting military power on an undefined goal, with vague aspirations it could never achieve with the resources devoted to it, without convincing the US people that ant war was necessary. It put Iranian leadership on death ground without any alternative except to use all their weapons, seemingly completely unaware of decades of US wargaming about the Strait.

It's hard to overstate how much of a disaster this is for the US on every possible angle.