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by plaidthunder
46 days ago
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Sure, but Turchin's overproduction of elites doesn't suggest a birth and death cycle right? It's a system that gets out of balance and needs to adjust over time. He calls the process that moves the system out of whack the "wealth pump". I don't think tech oligarchs are responsible for the wealth pump, they just benefit from it. Whatever causes organizational structures to decay seems like something more general than that. Or maybe it doesn't exist at all. Or maybe it's just some Nth level effect of entropy itself. Except so far removed from simple physical measurements that it feels intellectually lazy to just label whatever is happening as "entropy" and move on. Unknown. Fun to think about. It also makes aging a little more interesting, because it creates a framework for me to the world events I live through within--even if it's all bs in the end. |
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You can play with his model
To your other points, I need to clear cache for them overnight, not now.. maybe I can have a response tomorrow
I haven't played with the model myself, it's possible that there's energy getting pumped into the model (unlikely to be the same thing as the wealth pump--- that seems to be internal. This energy pump _could_ take care of entropy but in all likelihood it does not
Eyeballing
https://youtu.be/B5cMfyFqKmM?t=24m8s it seems to be buried in the g(S) term but I'll have to get into the weeds)
Whatever is not (vaccuosly) true about T's model should be something he hasn't yet anticipated. Ime with other proven-relevant models
what about Seldon's :)?