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by tearwear 5 days ago
you might have the same issue as I had until I noticed the obvious:

1) people assign value

2) we've grown to 8+ billion and we're not gonna stop

3) everything is made up, every rule of value and engagement beyond pick, bite, chew, shit and kill when hungry or necessary is complete nonsense and only works because we, across generations, collectively decided mostly on "ok, I can make this work for meself"

4) almost all markets grow either way, meaning whether AI corp employees give AI users more time/attention on the marketing stage as people who don't use AI or not

5) people won't stop doing anything, worst case scenario ( "objectively" ): they take pills and then do that or some other thing, despite theft or any lack whatsoever

The thing is: it doesn't matter if something is just a prompt away. prompting and so on equals time equals money. I made a website for someone via claude designer ( opus, then fable ) ... now I want to hire a web dev to iron some kinks out and polish some others. I can do it myself and I can prompt claude again, but if I had a 1000 bucks, I'd rather pay someone, EVEN IF THAT PERSON WASNT A PRO BUT ONLY TOOK THE TIME BROWSING THE WEB WITH AI TO GATHER DESIGN INSPIRATION WHICH I CAN CHECK IN THEIR PORTFOLIO.

Some peeps learned code for fun, others for profit, others because they hated MS Office. Most people didn't learn to code. Most people won't prompt an AI to build them a tool they want because the supply just isn't the right match.

The logical conclusion of LLMs is this: literally nothing changes. The economy will always have space & money for people who provide some sort of productivity. And "consumption" has been an obvious productivity metric forever, but you have to do it at least somewhat publicly. Then the ads industry can help you make some bucks, while AI helps you with SEO and stuff, ... or you hire someone or use some 10 dollar per month saas.

If human input stops, LLM training stops. "Agentic World models"? One bug and they are all just tin cans. "Why? They can self-debug!" They can, but without humans they reach dead-ends, "task done", "nothing to do here" just like MOST employees in any corp ( SO is down and the 69x dev is on vacation ).

These researchers you talk about work. Enough of them make music.

Rich peeps bought land forever. Hell, my neighbor is poor and owns some land he bought for 5k or so. Lots of wood. He recently came around and now likes AI, after years of hating without even trying to fix his time-and-motivation-dependent ( learning ) issues with AI even once.

I'm modestly certain AI will drive enough people back out there into real life. Things will balance out.

AI has created no new issues. Most young people's problems are mid-to long term results of cheap liquor, bad food, downers and blockers ( experiments, parties, hopes, sabotage, side effects ) and the psycho-cultural effects of too many lies on TV, too much fraud in the economy and politics, and too many stimulant-boosted kids in school and university. Pills can solve their issues but you'd need to check and monitor their biology and neurology very closely and we don't have the "man"power for that, yet.

#volatileGasPricesWhatWhy #dontTryToExplain