[oudlys]

I'm happy to make that bet. Just not for money. I don't gamble at all anywhere in my life.

But I'm happy to write something publicly like "Simianwords was right about this prediction and I was wrong". Also happy for you to suggest alternatives as well.

[simianwords]

Ok fair. In the event I’m wrong I can make a post in my anonymous blog that I was proved incorrect and I lost the bet. But I’m anonymous and a nobody so it doesn’t count for much but it’s all I can offer.

I’m not sure which bet we are talking about but let’s go for the stronger one and I’ll repeat it here:

7 months from now, combined valuation of OpenAI and Anthropic will be 10% higher than it is today inflation adjusted.

[oudlys]

Deal