[dwd]

Sure, but does that mean he's right all the time about all things, including everything in his own field?

He is saying no generative AI is going to produce output that is both good and novel because it is always derivative. And then adds a generative AI (Claude Code) into his list of AI that have produced output that he feels is good and novel, invalidating what he is arguing.

"...no matter how many instances of white swans we may have observed, this does not justify the conclusion that all swans are white."

[zeroonetwothree]

If you read it he says that CC has additional aspects beyond ordinary GAI, namely the ability to verify. That aspect is necessary for GAI to be good and novel.

Although personally I think code doesn’t actually need to be very novel so it’s actually the best example.