[simianwords]

>Any benchmark on AI shows that it gets better linearly. So his prediction was correct. There is no exponential AI improvement anywhere.

?? https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...

[abroszka33]

Ok, I guess there are some weird benchmarks where they managed to squeeze out an exponential. But even with Google's, OpenAI's or Anthropic's own benchmark it's a linear improvement between models.