[afro88]

I'd love to read about the predictions that have been wrong (genuinely)

[JimDabell]

> AI's biggest critic has lost the plot

— https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/ais-biggest-critic-has-lost...

[dcre]

He has said every month for the past three years that there is no technical progress left to be made in LLMs and that there is no more room in the market for inference spending to grow.

Here[0] is a fun selection of excerpts from his July 2024 post "How Does OpenAI Survive?"[1]

"I see no signs that the transformer-based architecture can do significantly more than it currently does."

[0]: https://xcancel.com/pathsnotchosen/status/206360940100129633...

[1]: https://www.wheresyoured.at/to-serve-altman/

[aurareturn]

He’s started a cult around anti AI basically.

[Peaches4Rent]

That statement isn't proof of anything.

If I start a climate crisis cult, doesn't mean my predictions are wrong

[aurareturn]

I don’t have much time to compile his predictions. I’ll let someone else do that.

That said, I just wanted to point out the grift he is doing. He’s making money by telling some people what they want to hear.

If AI invents a cure for cancer, he will tell you it’s still useless because it didn’t invent immortality.