[hdgvhicv]

Llms either reach the point where they can quickly design and build physical robots to take on that service industry or they stop exponential growth.

Both of those are devastating for their valuation. Stopping growth means open modes catch up in a year or so. Continuing means end of the current economy.

[solumunus]

There’s a good chance physical humanoid robots will always be more expensive than humans, especially in this new hypothesised reality where there’s an enormous labour surplus.

[somenameforme]

China is advancing robotics at a crazy pace, and hitting typical Chinese prices. This [1] robot is available starting at $6k. And of course what matters isn't the up-front cost, but the maintenance. If their maintenance costs are lower than human wages+taxes, then robots win.

The biggest practical issue will be that if these robots ever did start replacing people on a large enough scale, then you'd have a lot of angry, desperate people with a lot of time on their hands. So that alone will probably work as the primary mediating factor.

Quite an interesting time to be alive because the future is so completely impossible to predict. The world just a decade from now could look entirely different, or it could just be self driving cars all over again.

[1] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v1Q4Su54iho