Remember that OpenAI is subsidized from here to the highway.
A better way to model this, since you seem interested is the following:
How much would it cost you to start such a service for, say, 10k users?
Any other internet service has had virtually Zero cost, $0. Google, Facebook, youtube, Wikipedia, you name it. They all went into the dumpster to pick up a thrown away desktop computer, and they could serve up towards 100k if not a million users.
How much would it cost you to serve, say, 10k simultaneous users with a SOTA model? And if you wanted to go cash positive after a year, how much would each user have to pay?
> How much would it cost you to serve, say, 10k simultaneous users with a SOTA model? And if you wanted to go cash positive after a year, how much would each user have to pay?
My post has this same argument - we have multiple third party companies running open weight models. They are obviously not subsidised. And people are willing to pay for it. And these models are as good as the SOTA models from last year. So this kinda proves my point that SOTA is sustainable.
I'm simply saying this: there are third party hosters of Open Weight models like deepseek and they have been doing this for a while.
Obviously they are not subsidised, do you disagree? If you agree, they have a way to price it at a point that people wanna pay for it and also they aren't losing money.
So there's nothing inherent about inference that makes it too costly or whatever.
> I'm simply saying this: there are third party hosters of Open Weight models like deepseek and they have been doing this for a while.
> Obviously they are not subsidised, do you disagree? If you agree, they have a way to price it at a point that people wanna pay for it and also they aren't losing money.
> So there's nothing inherent about inference that makes it too costly or whatever.
Do we have audited GAAP financial data for any of these companies? If we don't, all these are... vibes, man.
Your whole calculation is also ridiculous - I think you assumed what revenue per month is required to pay off hardware within a year? Why would I use hardware within a year?
I would suggest consulting with ChatGPT and coming up with a better and more coherent argument.
A better way to model this, since you seem interested is the following:
How much would it cost you to start such a service for, say, 10k users?
Any other internet service has had virtually Zero cost, $0. Google, Facebook, youtube, Wikipedia, you name it. They all went into the dumpster to pick up a thrown away desktop computer, and they could serve up towards 100k if not a million users.
How much would it cost you to serve, say, 10k simultaneous users with a SOTA model? And if you wanted to go cash positive after a year, how much would each user have to pay?