[overgard]

I see little evidence that people combine all three positions together. You're making a broad generalization based on personal vibes.

[baq]

I see plenty if I care to look outside my usual echo chamber. There’s lots of ‘it’s just the next token prediction’ (in 2026 still!), but there are more sophisticated arguments like ‘it can’t be creative’, ‘it doesn’t think’, ‘it’s just pattern matching’ etc. They might even be true for today’s models, but linearly extrapolating an exponential trend is a classic mistake.

[meta_gunslinger]

Confusing a logarithmic trend with an exponential one is also a classic mistake.

[baq]

accurate; your point being...?