Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by snypher 3 days ago
Don't you think that under excess demand, production will ramp, competition will become available etc? These posts read like we're all out of fresh silicon or something.
2 comments

Supply will catch up, it will just take 3-5 years, with the price rising the whole time. Basically a worse version of the Covid supply disruption where I sold my car for more than I bought it for years later.

The physical world can’t be patched overnight, and cutting edge manufacturing takes a long time. Fortunately we are in a very peaceful low tension world right now and no one would try burning down or blowing up one of those extremely important, irreplaceable fabs.

No. Because the investment to get into the game is too big and takes too long. The ones who can create the silicon are already oversubscribed.