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by AdieuToLogic 10 days ago
> So what do you think the true reason is that the market is so backwardated?

It is not.

The only way to support a backwardation claim is to ignore the 24 months of pre-war market behavior. If analysis is limited to the last three calendar weeks, then the local minima might be called a backwardation.

Problem is, there are no geopolitical, market demand, and/or military indicators to support this point in time being an actual backwardation.