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by phase_9 13 days ago
The glory days are over. In the future, one software engineer will be able to support multiple product areas much like how one HR team can support 1,000's of employees.

LLMs have made domain knowledge and reasoning "cheap"; it doesn't matter if the output is lower quality - look around you for countless examples of where cheap wins and "cheap" continues to improve.

Good luck out there; we will all need it.

2 comments

This has been said millions of times but yet you felt the need to say this again. maybe our jobs are safe :)
> The glory days are over. In the future, one software engineer will be able to support multiple product areas much like how one HR team can support 1,000's of employees.

I mean, it seems within the realm of possibility that much more productive software engineers make more and not less money.

It is already the case that outside SV like scenarios, most devs are plain office workers like everyone else.
I don't see how this proves or disproves what I said. Can you elaborate?
The salary levels are not the values many imagine, and definitely aren't going to go up.
The first point is true but the second one isn't obvious to me. If we imagine that increased productivity leads to more demand to automate things that were previously too expensive to automate, then it doesn't seem unimaginable that developers are able to capture some of the gains in wages.
Who is going to pay them?