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by raincole 4 days ago
> Just look at the progress LLM'S have made in the past few years, and extrapolate that to the next 10 or 20 years.

First of all, past trend doesn't predict the future.

And if it did, then the answer would be nothing will matter in 20 years. Not just "no programming language," but nothing.

1 comments

What does nothing matter mean thou ? The extrapolation is very plausible outcome thou
https://xkcd.com/605/

No one can predict the future least of all humble extrapolation line.

Everything we do is about anticipation, from cooking to walking to driving. You maybe thinking 100% or nothing
Yeah, but those (cooking, walking) rely on prior experiences.

We don't have prior experiences that can tell us with certainty that LLMs will or will not replace humans entirely.

Projecting that LLMs will become a singularity is the same as saying processor's clock speed will double every year. They do double, they don't.

Sun will always rise in the east until it engulfs us.