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by ben_w
11 days ago
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> All of Musks business stuff highly depends on first mover advantage. Do they? Out of all of them, I think only one of them really depends on, or even benefits from, first mover advantages: Starlink. Tesla famously gave away all their patents, and is also being overtaken by Chinese companies with cheaper batteries because batteries are the expensive bit; SpaceX rockets are theoretically well protected because national security regulations >> patent law, but even there lots of Chinese clones popping up; TBC and Neuralink and SolarCity are going nowhere fast; Grok wasn't even the first in its field; Twitter/X is not only in heavy decline but was also always trivially cloneable and the clones are now an open source ecosystem of semi-distributed alternatives; xAI has shown ability to make data centres while pissing off locals but the market for those data centres is other AI companies who also commission their own data centres but found themselves scaling much faster than xAI did. (Starlink's first mover advantage is "this orbit already contains a satellite"). |
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Tesla won a lot of by being the first mass produced electric car.
Yeah the fact that China overtakes Tesla is a huge problem with Tesla and forces them to spread out. From all Musks hussles, only Tesla Cars and Space-X Starlink make money.
These two business are good running businesses, given. But these are not Trillion Dollar valuation companies.
Without the hype for these two things, nothing else would be possible.