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by XorNot 5 days ago
They also need Starship at minimum, which is now a 10+ year old project still exploding regularly.

Starship is at minimum a 2030 project at this point.

And even producing the volume of chips needed for the type of growth space data centers would need to have to justify this would be another decade if construction started now on those fabs.
1 comments
doxeddaily 5 days ago
A minimum of 2030? That seems excessively pessimistic.
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XorNot 4 days ago
I don't see how: Starship is a very long running project at this point, and progress has been incremental. Productionizing the basic logistics systems like turning around re-usable launch vehicle took years for Falcon 9, and Starship's haven't even done that yet.

By the end of the year if it's not landing intact yet, now you're 2027.

I'd say 2030 is optimistic (the 2028 moon landing with Artemis straight up isn't going to happen IMO).

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