[bonoboTP]

The big one was definitely ChatGPT upon release in 2022 and specifically when people showed how it can role play as a Linux terminal and you can narrate events like "the data enter is now on fire" and "run" nvidia-smi, it would show high temps on the gpus etc. Or you could "explore" the homedir or some famous person. It convinced me that if it can understand so well how terminals work, tool use and agents are around the corner.

Then Opus 4.5 convinced me that this has finally arrived. In 2022 I expected things to arrive faster actually, in 2023-2024. I expected we'd have much more realtime collaborative integrations with AI including GUI computer use. Maybe in 1-2 years.

For images, it was nano banana where I realized AI images can truly work, and all these adhoc issues like hands and limbs, or "it will never do horse riding a astronaut" were temporary. It's now clear that making feature length films is within reach. Not in one go but with an agent orchestrating, designing a screenplay, characters, shots etc and generating those. Whether the result will be worth watching or a flat story on the high level is another question. But it will be a "film" for sure.

[cineticdaffodil]

I think all those Steve Spielbergs hiding among the 8 billion - without connections and without hollywood names, having their day without getting filtered out by investor gremiums playing it safe - will produce enough material to be happy cineast for life.

[jasonfarnon]

Many Internet technologies like Youtube or soundcloud gave content creators direct access to an audience. If you were funny/creative/talented/attractive/in the right place at the right time/etc you could cut out the middlemen and capitalize on that directly. What is the hidden talent these Spielbergs possess that AI will enable? It's doing the writing, videography, etc. I imagine at most these hidden Spielbergs will be filtering output, like looking at a book of wallpapers and choosing what they like. Maybe some great movies get made, but it will just be the result of selection effects on the sheer number being made.

[jasondigitized]

YouTube is well poised for this.

[skybrian]

How will anyone find them, though, if there's so much slop that people stop looking?

[fragmede]

Human reviewers a la the Criterion Collection.

[stuxnet79]

It's not information overload. It's filter failure [1]

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LabqeJEOQyI

[zamadatix]

Yeah, ChatGPT both being able to generate conversational text AND act like a terminal absolutely blew my mind - far more than I ever would have imagined the approach would scale to st the time. Since then there have been more impressive tasks accomplished but nothing which put me into the same state of pure amazement.

[sunaookami]

>and specifically when people showed how it can role play as a Linux terminal

Ha, exactly the same for me. It was this blog post: https://www.engraved.blog/building-a-virtual-machine-inside/ that completely blew my mind.