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by lnsru
11 days ago
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Immigration HAS an effect: https://www.dw.com/en/germany-crime-figures-migrants-refugee... The thing is very simple: I am really not afraid of police in Germany. Worst thing that can happen is spending a night in jail. In other countries the police can shoot you or seriously beat you up. So basically there is no police. And the jail… well it’s all inclusive hotel compared to other countries. Deportation is anyway very unlikely. So what should stop me from doing bad things? |
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Secondly, the article hints at a sampling bias we have run into before, during the Syrian refugee crisis: Immigrants are not more likely compared to their peers.
If you compare a block that is predominately young men to the general population, they commit more crime – because they are young men, not because they are immigrants.
A proper statistical comparison looks at the sub-demographics, comparing immigrant and native folk to their peers in age and sex.
Compare 18-year old men from Algeria to native 18 year-old men, and they aren’t any more likely to commit crime. But between 18-year old men and the general population? Well, duh, because one group has more young men in it.
Which is to say: No, immigrants aren’t more likely to commit crimes.