[rahimnathwani]

The grade data come from https://berkeleytime.com/grades

I was worried they may have cherrypicked courses that support their chosen narrative.

So I plotted the % of F grades (red line) for all CS courses still offered, and sorted the chart in descending order of the # grades given out (light blue vertical bars) in the most recent semester when the course was offered.

My worry was borne out. See the first few charts. No big increase in F % in the past few semesters.

https://x.com/rahimnathwani/status/2062431813143019525?s=61

[krull10]

Alternatively, many faculty may be simply adjusting their curves to avoid failing too many students because they are incentivized to avoid giving too many low grades. Lower grades generally result in lower course evals, which can impact raises and promotion, and low grades can also result in additional attention from admin that no professor wants to deal with…

[danso]

The article says they looked at CS 10 and 61A, which IIRC are the intro classes at Berkeley. Why do you think that amounts to “cherry picking” versus being a reasonable starting point for analysis (esp if those classes, as they are for one of the quoted professors, aren’t graded on a curve)?

[rahimnathwani]

Because CS10, being an intro class, has its highest enrollment in Fall, not in Spring.

In the most recent CS10 cohort (the one in which 35% of grades were an F) only 34 students were graded.

If you're going to look at intro classes, why not look at the Fall semesters, which have much higher enrollment?

             # grades   % F grades
 Fall 2019        268        0.37%
 Fall 2020        259        8.49%
 Fall 2021        342        3.22%
 Fall 2022        218       13.30%
 Fall 2023        194        7.22%
 Fall 2024        169        1.18%
 Fall 2025        146        2.74%

You can see a chart of the data here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17acH9JkGE4MlYE1Aeh_i...

[ARandumGuy]

Additionally, if someone is taking an intro class in the Spring, that's probably because they already failed it in the previous semester. While that doesn't guarantee that they'll fail again, it does make it more likely.

[rahimnathwani]

Sure, but 12 people got an F in CS10 in Spring 2026, which is higher than any prior spring. The second-highest number of Spring F grades was 9, in Spring 2022, when four times as many students were graded (133 vs 34).

Separately, there's a clear downward trend in the number of grades being awarded in the fall semester. Perhaps students have the option to take the course pass/fail?

[ARandumGuy]

12 Fs across 34 students is not statistically significant. Comparing the spring 2022 vs spring 2026 rates only works if the composition of the groups is similar (e.g. same % of students that previously failed the course), which seems dubious given the dramatically different sample sizes.

That doesn't mean there isn't a problem worth investigating. If I was a dean I'd certainly have some questions if I found out that 35% of students failed a class. But without knowing the specifics it's irresponsible to draw any conclusions about these 34 students with the limited data we have available.

[rahimnathwani]

Agreed.

That's why I raised the low N.