[keeda]

Hmm, I would say the technology to durably preserve human knowledge is actually very recent. Until just a few decades ago, other methods have been extremely lossy. Even today, with triple-redundant, geographically-distributed data replicas we see cases of catastrophic data loss. Previously, all it took was an errant spark in a library.

You're right that the main driver for loss of knowledge is human behavior, but I would posit the underlying reason is economics. Craft that reduces in economic value simply disappears because there is no incentive to preserve it.

As such, there is a cheat sheet for human behavior, it's called economics! ;-) And the already high economic value of code is only going to keep increasing sharply, so even if LLMs do most of the work there will be strong incentives for people to manualy craft code whenever LLMs, like all systems, inevitably fall short.