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by maerF0x0
9 days ago
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At least on SpaceX the float is really low. The Market only needs to "swallow" ~$100Bn in volume of shares (across the 3), which the NYSE does _daily_. the really interesting thing will be how much will other stocks go down because the passive dollars are chasing the new shares and have to sell to rebalance? |
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$ value of equity purchased in indices:
- total market cap of those 3: $3.6tn
- index inclusion weights is based on free float, not full market cap
- free floats ~5%
=> 5% * 3.6tn = 180bn of these stocks in MV weight in the index
$ value of index funds: $18tn
$ value of market cap that is tracked by these index funds: $57tn
=> index funds are 18/57 = 31.6% of the market value
=> 180bn * 31.6% = $57bn of stock included in the index funds
so $57bn in sales in other companies => 57bn/18tn = 0.32% of all other stocks sold
Now for the assymmetry here:
- 57bn in sales is about 7% of daily volume for all incumbants combined
- 57bn in purchase is about 15-30 days of volume for typical stocks (hence Elon's eagerness to get them included asap)