[paulryanrogers]

> Bet on your beliefs, and the highly liquid prediction markets make that feasible.

Why? Insiders are rich enough as it is.

> Conversing about politics has been a fool’s errand for a very long time in the US, practically this whole century so far.

Other people sharing their perspectives and stories is a big reason I'm no longer a Republican.

> ...if your view of reality is more accurate, whether you want the accurate view or not, don't worry about discussing, just trade it.

This assumes markets are fair.

[yieldcrv]

> Other people sharing their perspectives and stories is a big reason I'm no longer a Republican.

wow a developed pre-frontal lobe level of empathy, amazing. that isn't even a counterpoint without knowing what your affiliation became, because the whole point is that the crowd is leaving the parties. but thanks for sharing your journey.

> This assumes markets are fair.

doesn't assume that at all, it assumes I can extract value from them

[paulryanrogers]

> that isn't even a counterpoint without knowing what your affiliation became

In early 2017 I changed from Republican to Democrat.

> seemingly mentally incapable of noticing absolutely nothing has changed or will change in the composition of seats.

US Senate and House majorities have tipped over to the other party repeatedly over the past 20y. Surely that's more than 'nothing', even if not some overwhelming wave.

> wow a developed pre-frontal lobe level of empathy, amazing

Being condescending and suggesting folks are mentally incapable (in any sense) won't help you make friends or encourage readers to take your ideas more seriously. Unless perhaps your only goal is pumping prediction markets.

[yieldcrv]

the parties are losing voters and unaffiliated (independent) is the largest voting bloc now while having nearly zero representation in Congress, I think there is 1 independent current seat the House and 2 independents in the Senate

partisans are loud, berating the unaffiliated for not adding power to their cause-du-jour as if the unaffiliated are the one other side themselves. loud enough that the unaffiliated may not actually know that they are in the majority now because most people are independently having the same reaction to partisans.

my goal is pointing out that its the majority opinion now.

but you might be on to something, both partisans and non-partisans don’t notice that partisans blocs are minority voting blocs now.