[RealityVoid]

Which of the Moore's laws would that be? It seems people talk about Moore's law without actually specifying what the law says. Transistor per SQ mm? Transistor count in a chip overall? Transistors built in the world at all? General hand-wavy performance of compute?

You never know what the counterpart is saying when claiming it dead or alive and people seem to have _ wildly_ different concepts what it means.

The original quote seems to be: "The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year" - I think this held up pretty well.

Wikipedia says:

"Moore's law is the observation that the number of transistors in an integrated circuit (IC) doubles about every two years, with minimal increase in cost."

Notice nowhere any mention of area. It's more related to cost?

[Retric]

The original use was in terms of transistors in an integrated circuit doubling every year at identical cost. That rate was revised down by Moore multiple times.

So it doesn’t have a firm definition, but ever larger and more expensive chips isn’t what it was referring to.

[bonesss]

“Moore’s Rule of Thumb” is a descriptor I read in a hard print magazine back when my phone had buttons and we all wore onions tied to our belts.

A critical insight for its time, but not quite a thermodynamic principle our great-grand kids will be able to verify on their fancy new modern phones that finally got buttons.