[reducesuffering]

In the big 2026, everything certain people worried about with superintelligence came to fruition and they were vindicated. The people closest to ASI are indicating recursive self improvement is imminent, the smartest engineers in the labs themselves are autonomously using agents to develop and improve the models. The arms race is evident. NVDA is the world's most valuable company determined by the worlds' collective wisdom of those with skin-in-the-game.

If there exists a path of runaway superintelligence, the trajectory we've experienced has been following it to a tee. Their predictive power was affirmed.

All the "AI is a nothingburger" predictions of the last decade, including many here even in the last year, have aged incredibly poorly.

[AndrewKemendo]

Nobody cares what we (people who have been working on AGI a long time) think.

We were dismissed as cranks before and now we’re just ignored by whomever is promising the most money to investors.

So, par for the course. Everyone in AI has lived through all the cycles so far so this is just the biggest one yet.