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by AlexB138 10 days ago
The youngest baby boomers are in their early 60s. I doubt it will make a difference in tech, but traditional industries, or what is left of them, should see a lot of senior roles open up as baby boomers begin to retire. Then, as they begin to pass away, a lot of their accumulated wealth will pass to their heirs as well.

The baby boomers have been a serious "clog" in the system at a lot of levels. It will be interesting to see how things play out once they're no longer actively involved.

2 comments

~$0 of baby boomer wealth will pass down.

It's all going to be taken by end of life care companies who charge $20k a month (yes really) to put you in a small room and have a teen with barely a highschool diploma check in on you every now and again, for minimum wage.

Every dime of wealth the boomers collected will be captured by a few private capital orgs who prepared for this. It will never flow down.

In 2024, the Silent Generation and baby boomers represented 25% of the population, but held 65% of all wealth in the US.

The healthcare industry will profit a great deal, but there is no way they will capture 65% of all wealth in the country. And supposing they did: ultimately, all this wealth ends up on some household's balance sheet unless it goes abroad.

Yet we have ample evidence that extremely little of the massive increases in wealth, value, and productivity of the past 50 or so years has ended up in the hands of normal people.

Why would this be any different?

You can make all sorts of hay about "Oh that money will be invested so it will still benefit normal people" but no, the vast majority of the wealth the boomers gathered will be controlled by the new aristocracy. They will do with it as they please and thus you should expect it to almost entirely benefit them first and foremost.

Private equity prepared for this windfall. Even if they scoop up only ten percent of it or so, that's an enormous transfer of wealth from average families to the hyperwealthy. That's another entire chunk of the pie that is just removed from the continually shrinking normal person economy.

A giant fraction of that wealth is in real estate: Homes. Those homes should be passed down to the next generation, alleviating our insane house prices somewhat, but instead they will come under ownership of the same companies who currently monopolize specific rental markets to ensure the price goes up as much as they want, and they will absolutely rent out those new properties, in such a way that they do not reduce prices.

That housing stock is completely and totally captured by these private equity firms that own the end of life care companies.

i suspect based off some light readings around this that there will be even more of a wealth transfer in the coming 20-30 years as the boomers fall off. medical costs for advanced age, asset prices like housing falling off in certain areas, mismanagement of retirement funds, and even just continuing the mentality of “i can’t take it with so might as well spend”