[OtherShrezzing]

If a model is substantially better than most humans at most tasks, the human isn't going to be able to perceive the difference between Claude Opus 7.7 and 8.7. Humans at some point aren't going to be able to perceive the difference on benchmarks either, because they are going to get wildly abstract.

AI vendors are really going to struggle to shift tokens far beyond the frontier of human capabilities. It's reasonable (not guaranteed) to assume that, if the trend of frontier models (doubling capabilities on benchmarks every n months) holds, then the same trend will hold for local models, and those local models will meet and exceed the perception frontier. This would mean a human cannot tell the difference between Mistral-Open-2030 and Claude Opus 2030.

That's a bunch of "ifs", but there's nothing exceptional about those "ifs". They're basically the scenario if nothing changes between now and ~2030 with regards to capabilities trend attainment.