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by laurentl 14 days ago
My read is that we're traveling along Gartner's hype cycle. Tokenmaxxing/"who needs developers anymore" is the top of the peak. "oh no we ate our entire budget in 3 months" is heading towards the through of disillusionment. I wouldn't be surprised if at some point we hear about companies quietly walking back AI mandates and even gasp hiring developers again (not that it'll be shouted from the rooftops). And then, eventually, we'll figure out how to use these tools productively and settle in the plateau.

Different companies/industries move along the cycle at different speeds. E.g. the non-tech solopreneurs went from "I can vibecode an entire app in an afternoon, never hiring a dev again" to "whoopsie, Claude deleted my production database" pretty quickly (and loudly). Big tech also seems more advanced in the cycle; cf. Amazon's recent production problems and subsequent backlash, Uber's budget, etc. Larger companies are following the trend a beat late as their C-suite cosplays "we're a tech startup" on LinkedIn. And some companies are sitting this one out for the moment, either out of obliviousness or wisdom, and will adopt the tools once they've matured enough.

Anyway, give it some time; I'm sure the backlash will come to your company as well. Then, eventually, you'll be allowed to use AI rationally.