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by josh_s 14 days ago
Lots of interest comments on the efficiency of building homes.

The bigger issue is the cost of land. The differential for land to build is often 10:1.

So even if the prefab shave 10-20% the price for a custom build, it's still not making much of a difference for the normal buyer.

unless a develop or government was opening up mutiple parcels of land well below the costs to build a house, prefab is not really going to be worth it.

3 comments

If the land cost is 10:1 then chances are that is a lot ripe for townhomes/apartments. Desirable single home plots in the suburbs of my mid sized city are like 1:3 with the cheapest new builds from a local builder.
> The differential for land to build is often 10:1.

What does this mean?

Land around here is cheap as free.

That is almost assuredly because nobody wants to live there. Now try this for locations that people actually want to live in.
With what size housing unit though? If we're trying to make livable dense housing, the developer is going vertical and getting much better than 10:1.
Trailer parks are a thing that does exist; you can even often find an available slot in one. It turns out that most people don't want to live in a highly-dense area with mass-manufactured housing.
yep, and that's what we see a lot of round here. this is still not driving pre-fab adoption. ie, a single family dwelling selling for $3m, knocked down and replaced with 8x apartments sold for $750k. no interest doing a prefab single family dwelling at any price.
Right but that margin is tight!? Total rev of $6m, entry cost before anything built of $3m. $3m to play with. 8 units selling for $750k and you want to build them for under $300k a piece? Tight.