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by ddp26 17 days ago
I linked elsewhere in a comment, Metaculus has AGI forecasts.

You can also now use AI forecasters like FutureSearch [1] (disclaimer: I work there), which are competitive with the best humans / teams of humans. And since you aren't depending on a human crowd, you can ask any variation of AGI questions with any definition, even ask conditional questions.

[1] https://futuresearch.ai/app