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by byzantinegene 23 days ago
8B models would be consider obsolete in the world of 2T models, at least if we're talking about the competitiveness of OpenAI/Anthropic. The only reason why they are valued so highly is their supposed dominance at the top end.
1 comments

The main story of agent use cases is in enterprise so far. An enterprise will only pay for a model capable of handling the task and no more. Most enterprise's see no need to hire PhDs as factory line workers.

Coding is an interesting case as [1] the pace of progress has been absurd and [2] it's hard to put an upper bound on required capability. However hard to put a bound on and will are different, it's quite possible that the average engineer will cease to see the benefit of rapid progress - or that their employer will be satisfied with lower tier models.

How smart of a model do you need to build a high quality CRUD app for internal users? Or build a scalable web service?

yes, which is why the revenue growth story is not looking so great for Anthropic/OpenAI, when open-source alternatives are not far behind with much lower costs.