[mpol]

Those are facts.

They do not mean that the people who ordered them today are wanting them today. If you need them in 10 years time, you need to order them today. It can easily change, if a flight company doesnt want to do business with Boeing or Airbus, they can cancel their pre-orders. Then the pre-order list might shrink really fast.

[Zigurd]

Indeed. Backlogs can evaporate. Can you imagine anyone taking delivery of a newly built 737 in 10 years? 7 years? Theoretically, that's part of the backlog.

[mh-]

> Can you imagine anyone taking delivery of a newly built 737 in 10 years?

..yes? Companies are still placing orders, despite knowing how long the backlog is. I also expect the 737s will still be sold in 20+ years time, much less 7-10.

[WorkerBee28474]

747s were in commercial production for 54 years (1970 to 2023).

[Zigurd]

For the last 15 years of 747 production the production rate was fewer than three per month and sometimes zero.

[karamanolev]

Why not taking delivery of a current plane in 7 years? What do you think the development, testing, certification and production scaling timeline is of a brand new airframe?