[hansmayer]

> I welcome you to also hold yourself accountable in the coming months if this trend continues. ;)

My company did not swallow hundreds of billions in shady investment deals and is not publicly traded. We work with real money, and the revenue on our books is the revenue that is actually booked, not fake revenue we plan in 2 years time to maybe happen. So no, I am not going to hold myself accountable. But people who work with other people's money should be absolutely held accountable when their wild imaginations don't come true, repeatedly, quarter after quarter, year after year!

[aspenmartin]

I think he means hold yourself accountable when it turns out your predictions and pessimism don't age well.

[hansmayer]

Mate, for 5 years I've been hearing that crap. I am not predicting anything / on the contrary the AI boosting bunch is. When are your predictions coming true?

[supern0va]

AFAIK, most predictions from several years ago were for...approximately now to within the next few years. Can you be more specific?

You criticized a very specific (and fake/misquoted) prediction, ignored the correction, and are now criticizing vague hand-wavey "predictions" that you have left unspecified.

Can you please stop with the angry/ranty replies and actually have a real conversation grounded in actual facts?

Now, having said all of the above...I'll also point out that these are predictions, not promises/guarantees. These people are being asked to forecast and are doing so. I hardly think they should be held responsible for not being literal oracles, but even so--please, at least quote them correctly/at all.

In short: be better than the hallucinations you're seen to call out from the models.

[aspenmartin]

What predictions, sorry?

[supern0va]

I will note that you have essentially not responded to anything specific in my comment, nor at least acknowledged that you misstated Dario Amodei's actual prediction.