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by bombcar 19 days ago
The leverage only matters in an appreciation market (which we’ve been spoiled with in the USA since boomertimes). If you distill the math on assumed zero appreciation (or zero “real” appreciation) it becomes not so terribly pretty.

It’s really a form of various hedges wrapped up with a bow, that for many people is desirable (and since we HAVE had appreciation it doesn’t “turn out bad” most of the time anyway).

Anyone who says “renting/buying” is the only way to go is missing something.

1 comments

Renting also has hedges embedded, and every hedge can be a risk position.

In particular the interest rate options in foxed mortgages are pretty expensive and it only hedges the cost of a particular house not housing in general.

Housing cost is correlated with local incomes so in some ways it's doubling down. In particular recessions are deflationary in the immediate aftermath.