[loeg]

Some of the prediction markets explicitly forbid payouts based on death. E.g., Kalshi refused to pay out "leaves office" when Khamenei was killed.

[gpm]

> Kalshi refused to pay out

To be clear they had explicitly written in the contract from the start that death didn't count. And they paid out the full amount - just not to the same betters they would have if he had left office alive.

[munk-a]

There are a lot of things short of death that we don't want to encourage either. There is a huge grey zone here that I frankly don't want to entrust to private entities.

[loeg]

Sure, I'm not a fan of prediction markets in general either. Just responding to GP's specific claim about death incentives.