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by Barrin92
22 days ago
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the entire point of the argument is that they're the same people. Military bets appear to have significantly higher rates of insider trading than baseline[1], which implies two things, both catastrophic. One is that the markets leak classified information (which is the entire point of the market and it should be a national security no brainer to close it for that reason alone) but the even worse scenario is causality in the other direction, that a bet leads someone to take a military decision. [1]https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/30/polymarket-s-mil... |
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It's not at all obvious that leaks of classified information are per se detrimental to _actual_ national security.