[hn_throwaway_99]

Hinton was probably right, even in 2016. When a med student chooses their residency, they want to choose a career that will be around in 40 years. The tech obviously wasn't there in 2016, but it is tantalizingly close today. I have a family member who is a radiologist who works for a group that deploys AI tools as an adjunct, and is was pretty eye opening the first time that tool caught a critical finding he missed.

Interestingly, there is currently a huge shortage of radiologists because the tech (but, more importantly, the regulatory framework) isn't quite there yet, but again people choosing a medical specialty aren't looking at today or a year or two out, they want a career that will sustain them into old age after investing years and hundreds of thousands in training. People are worried at what the landscape will look like in 5 years, let alone 20, 30 or 40.